Bitcoin price scenarios
A reference range based on the current price and recent volatility.
- Price
- $78,388.00
- Annualized volatility
- 33.5%
| Horizon | Bearish | Base | Bullish | Holdings with staking rewards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | $71,219.22 | $78,388.00 | $86,278.37 | 1 → 1.0353 BTC |
| 90 days | $66,390.45 | $78,388.00 | $92,553.65 | 1 → 1.1144 BTC |
| 1 year | $56,100.03 | $78,388.00 | $109,530.76 | 1 → 1.497 BTC |
Methodology
We calculate the standard deviation of log returns from hourly prices over the last 7 days and annualize it. The base scenario holds the current price, while the bearish and bullish scenarios assume a one standard deviation decline and rise. The staking row also shows how your coin holdings grow at the 365-day reward rate.
Price scenarios are statistical reference material only, not forecasts or investment advice. Actual prices may fall outside these ranges.